Shaily Engineering (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1,117

SHAILY Stock   1,097  2.20  0.20%   
Shaily Engineering's future price is the expected price of Shaily Engineering instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shaily Engineering Plastics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shaily Engineering Backtesting, Shaily Engineering Valuation, Shaily Engineering Correlation, Shaily Engineering Hype Analysis, Shaily Engineering Volatility, Shaily Engineering History as well as Shaily Engineering Performance.
  
Please specify Shaily Engineering's target price for which you would like Shaily Engineering odds to be computed.

Shaily Engineering Target Price Odds to finish over 1,117

The tendency of Shaily Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,097 90 days 1,097 
about 6.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shaily Engineering to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.68 (This Shaily Engineering Plastics probability density function shows the probability of Shaily Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shaily Engineering has a beta of 0.54. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shaily Engineering average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shaily Engineering Plastics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shaily Engineering Plastics has an alpha of 0.1737, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shaily Engineering Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shaily Engineering

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shaily Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
987.081,1141,117
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0641,0671,206
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0331,0361,039
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.104.014.92
Details

Shaily Engineering Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shaily Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shaily Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shaily Engineering Plastics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shaily Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
62.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Shaily Engineering Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shaily Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shaily Engineering can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shaily Engineering had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Shaily Engineering is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Shaily Engineering Plastics Ltds Stock Sees Positive Trend, Outperforms Sector by 5.15 percent - MarketsMojo

Shaily Engineering Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shaily Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shaily Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shaily Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments222.2 M

Shaily Engineering Technical Analysis

Shaily Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shaily Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shaily Engineering Plastics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shaily Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shaily Engineering Predictive Forecast Models

Shaily Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shaily Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shaily Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shaily Engineering

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shaily Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shaily Engineering help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shaily Engineering had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Shaily Engineering is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Shaily Engineering Plastics Ltds Stock Sees Positive Trend, Outperforms Sector by 5.15 percent - MarketsMojo

Other Information on Investing in Shaily Stock

Shaily Engineering financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shaily Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shaily with respect to the benefits of owning Shaily Engineering security.