Shaniv (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 388.1

SHAN Stock  ILS 385.50  3.70  0.97%   
Shaniv's future price is the expected price of Shaniv instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shaniv performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shaniv Backtesting, Shaniv Valuation, Shaniv Correlation, Shaniv Hype Analysis, Shaniv Volatility, Shaniv History as well as Shaniv Performance.
  
Please specify Shaniv's target price for which you would like Shaniv odds to be computed.

Shaniv Target Price Odds to finish below 388.1

The tendency of Shaniv Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under S 388.10  after 90 days
 385.50 90 days 388.10 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shaniv to stay under S 388.10  after 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Shaniv probability density function shows the probability of Shaniv Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shaniv price to stay between its current price of S 385.50  and S 388.10  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shaniv has a beta of 0.0219. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shaniv average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shaniv will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shaniv has an alpha of 0.137, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shaniv Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shaniv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shaniv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
384.22385.50386.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
346.95441.94443.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
373.16374.44375.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
381.62385.28388.94
Details

Shaniv Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shaniv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shaniv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shaniv, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shaniv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
18.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Shaniv Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shaniv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shaniv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has S151.61 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Shaniv Technical Analysis

Shaniv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shaniv Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shaniv. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shaniv Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shaniv Predictive Forecast Models

Shaniv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shaniv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shaniv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shaniv

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shaniv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shaniv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has S151.61 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Shaniv Stock

Shaniv financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shaniv Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shaniv with respect to the benefits of owning Shaniv security.