Svenska Handelsbanken (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 141.43
| SHB-B Stock | SEK 142.70 1.00 0.70% |
Svenska |
Svenska Handelsbanken Target Price Odds to finish below 141.43
The tendency of Svenska Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 141.43 or more in 90 days |
| 142.70 | 90 days | 141.43 | about 78.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Svenska Handelsbanken to drop to kr 141.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 78.97 (This Svenska Handelsbanken AB probability density function shows the probability of Svenska Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Svenska Handelsbanken price to stay between kr 141.43 and its current price of kr142.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Svenska Handelsbanken AB has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Svenska Handelsbanken are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Svenska Handelsbanken AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Svenska Handelsbanken AB has an alpha of 0.1551, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Svenska Handelsbanken Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Svenska Handelsbanken
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Svenska Handelsbanken. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Svenska Handelsbanken Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Svenska Handelsbanken is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Svenska Handelsbanken's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Svenska Handelsbanken AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Svenska Handelsbanken within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Svenska Handelsbanken Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Svenska Handelsbanken for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Svenska Handelsbanken can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Svenska Handelsbanken has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Svenska Handelsbanken AB has accumulated about 639.23 B in cash with (38.3 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 322.84. |
Svenska Handelsbanken Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Svenska Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Svenska Handelsbanken's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Svenska Handelsbanken's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B |
Svenska Handelsbanken Technical Analysis
Svenska Handelsbanken's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Svenska Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Svenska Handelsbanken AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Svenska Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Svenska Handelsbanken Predictive Forecast Models
Svenska Handelsbanken's time-series forecasting models is one of many Svenska Handelsbanken's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Svenska Handelsbanken's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Svenska Handelsbanken
Checking the ongoing alerts about Svenska Handelsbanken for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Svenska Handelsbanken help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Svenska Handelsbanken has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Svenska Handelsbanken AB has accumulated about 639.23 B in cash with (38.3 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 322.84. |
Additional Tools for Svenska Stock Analysis
When running Svenska Handelsbanken's price analysis, check to measure Svenska Handelsbanken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Svenska Handelsbanken is operating at the current time. Most of Svenska Handelsbanken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Svenska Handelsbanken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Svenska Handelsbanken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Svenska Handelsbanken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.