Search Minerals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0563

SHCMF Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Search Minerals' future price is the expected price of Search Minerals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Search Minerals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Search Minerals Backtesting, Search Minerals Valuation, Search Minerals Correlation, Search Minerals Hype Analysis, Search Minerals Volatility, Search Minerals History as well as Search Minerals Performance.
  
Please specify Search Minerals' target price for which you would like Search Minerals odds to be computed.

Search Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0563

The tendency of Search Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.06  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Search Minerals to move over $ 0.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Search Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Search Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Search Minerals price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01  and $ 0.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 50.71 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Search Minerals will likely underperform. Moreover Search Minerals has an alpha of 1.1525, implying that it can generate a 1.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Search Minerals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Search Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Search Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00010.0170.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.020.04
Details

Search Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Search Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Search Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Search Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Search Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones50.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Search Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Search Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Search Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Search Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Search Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Search Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Search Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Search Minerals has accumulated about 5.55 M in cash with (1.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Search Minerals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Search Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Search Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Search Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding358.5 M

Search Minerals Technical Analysis

Search Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Search Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Search Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Search Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Search Minerals Predictive Forecast Models

Search Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Search Minerals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Search Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Search Minerals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Search Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Search Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Search Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Search Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Search Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Search Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Search Minerals has accumulated about 5.55 M in cash with (1.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Search Pink Sheet

Search Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Search Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Search with respect to the benefits of owning Search Minerals security.