Shemaroo Entertainment (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 158.74

SHEMAROO   159.25  1.03  0.65%   
Shemaroo Entertainment's future price is the expected price of Shemaroo Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shemaroo Entertainment Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shemaroo Entertainment Backtesting, Shemaroo Entertainment Valuation, Shemaroo Entertainment Correlation, Shemaroo Entertainment Hype Analysis, Shemaroo Entertainment Volatility, Shemaroo Entertainment History as well as Shemaroo Entertainment Performance.
  
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Shemaroo Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish over 158.74

The tendency of Shemaroo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  158.74  in 90 days
 159.25 90 days 158.74 
about 85.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shemaroo Entertainment to stay above  158.74  in 90 days from now is about 85.22 (This Shemaroo Entertainment Limited probability density function shows the probability of Shemaroo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shemaroo Entertainment price to stay between  158.74  and its current price of 159.25 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shemaroo Entertainment has a beta of 0.59. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shemaroo Entertainment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shemaroo Entertainment Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shemaroo Entertainment Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Shemaroo Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shemaroo Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shemaroo Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
157.68161.65165.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
139.50143.47175.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
155.09159.06163.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
157.94158.91159.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shemaroo Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shemaroo Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shemaroo Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shemaroo Entertainment.

Shemaroo Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shemaroo Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shemaroo Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shemaroo Entertainment Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shemaroo Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
14.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Shemaroo Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shemaroo Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shemaroo Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shemaroo Entertainment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 7.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (406.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 852.91 M.
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Shemaroo Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shemaroo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shemaroo Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shemaroo Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 M

Shemaroo Entertainment Technical Analysis

Shemaroo Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shemaroo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shemaroo Entertainment Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shemaroo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shemaroo Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

Shemaroo Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shemaroo Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shemaroo Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shemaroo Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shemaroo Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shemaroo Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shemaroo Entertainment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 7.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (406.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 852.91 M.
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Shemaroo Stock

Shemaroo Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shemaroo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shemaroo with respect to the benefits of owning Shemaroo Entertainment security.