Star Diamond Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 16.89

SHGDF Stock  USD 0.02  0.01  33.33%   
Star Diamond's future price is the expected price of Star Diamond instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Star Diamond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Star Diamond Backtesting, Star Diamond Valuation, Star Diamond Correlation, Star Diamond Hype Analysis, Star Diamond Volatility, Star Diamond History as well as Star Diamond Performance.
  
Please specify Star Diamond's target price for which you would like Star Diamond odds to be computed.

Star Diamond Target Price Odds to finish over 16.89

The tendency of Star Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.89  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 16.89 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Star Diamond to move over $ 16.89  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Star Diamond probability density function shows the probability of Star Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Star Diamond price to stay between its current price of $ 0.02  and $ 16.89  at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Star Diamond has a beta of -3.98. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Star Diamond are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Star Diamond is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Star Diamond has an alpha of 0.7501, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Star Diamond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Star Diamond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Star Diamond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Star Diamond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0217.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0217.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0217.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.03
Details

Star Diamond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Star Diamond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Star Diamond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Star Diamond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Star Diamond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.75
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.98
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Star Diamond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Star Diamond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Star Diamond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Star Diamond had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Star Diamond has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Star Diamond has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (7.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 85 K.
Star Diamond has accumulated about 2.99 M in cash with (5.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Star Diamond Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Star Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Star Diamond's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Diamond's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding452.8 M

Star Diamond Technical Analysis

Star Diamond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Star Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Star Diamond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Star Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Star Diamond Predictive Forecast Models

Star Diamond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Star Diamond's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Star Diamond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Star Diamond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Star Diamond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Star Diamond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Star Diamond had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Star Diamond has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Star Diamond has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (7.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 85 K.
Star Diamond has accumulated about 2.99 M in cash with (5.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Star Pink Sheet

Star Diamond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Star Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Star with respect to the benefits of owning Star Diamond security.