Seanergy Maritime Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.65
| SHIP Stock | USD 8.08 0.05 0.62% |
Seanergy |
Seanergy Maritime Target Price Odds to finish below 5.65
The tendency of Seanergy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.65 or more in 90 days |
| 8.08 | 90 days | 5.65 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seanergy Maritime to drop to $ 5.65 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Seanergy Maritime Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Seanergy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seanergy Maritime price to stay between $ 5.65 and its current price of $8.08 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Seanergy Maritime has a beta of 0.22. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Seanergy Maritime average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seanergy Maritime Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Seanergy Maritime Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Seanergy Maritime Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Seanergy Maritime
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seanergy Maritime. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seanergy Maritime Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seanergy Maritime is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seanergy Maritime's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seanergy Maritime Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seanergy Maritime within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Seanergy Maritime Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seanergy Maritime for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seanergy Maritime can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seanergy Maritime generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seanergy Maritime has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Seanergy Maritime Holdings currently holds 232.97 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.1, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Seanergy Maritime has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Seanergy Maritime's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Seanergy Maritime has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 28.0% of Seanergy Maritime outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 10th of October 2024 Seanergy Maritime paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Diana Shipping declares 0.01 dividend |
Seanergy Maritime Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seanergy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seanergy Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seanergy Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.4 M |
Seanergy Maritime Technical Analysis
Seanergy Maritime's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seanergy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seanergy Maritime Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seanergy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seanergy Maritime Predictive Forecast Models
Seanergy Maritime's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seanergy Maritime's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seanergy Maritime's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seanergy Maritime
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seanergy Maritime for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seanergy Maritime help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seanergy Maritime generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seanergy Maritime has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Seanergy Maritime Holdings currently holds 232.97 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.1, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Seanergy Maritime has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Seanergy Maritime's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Seanergy Maritime has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 28.0% of Seanergy Maritime outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 10th of October 2024 Seanergy Maritime paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Diana Shipping declares 0.01 dividend |
Additional Tools for Seanergy Stock Analysis
When running Seanergy Maritime's price analysis, check to measure Seanergy Maritime's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seanergy Maritime is operating at the current time. Most of Seanergy Maritime's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seanergy Maritime's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seanergy Maritime's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seanergy Maritime to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.