Sunstone Hotel Investors Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 17.51

SHO-PH Preferred Stock   22.25  0.20  0.89%   
Sunstone Hotel's future price is the expected price of Sunstone Hotel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sunstone Hotel Investors performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sunstone Hotel Backtesting, Sunstone Hotel Valuation, Sunstone Hotel Correlation, Sunstone Hotel Hype Analysis, Sunstone Hotel Volatility, Sunstone Hotel History as well as Sunstone Hotel Performance.
  
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Sunstone Hotel Target Price Odds to finish below 17.51

The tendency of Sunstone Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  17.51  or more in 90 days
 22.25 90 days 17.51 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sunstone Hotel to drop to  17.51  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sunstone Hotel Investors probability density function shows the probability of Sunstone Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sunstone Hotel Investors price to stay between  17.51  and its current price of 22.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sunstone Hotel has a beta of 0.41. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sunstone Hotel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sunstone Hotel Investors will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sunstone Hotel Investors has an alpha of 0.0081, implying that it can generate a 0.008067 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sunstone Hotel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sunstone Hotel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunstone Hotel Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.9922.2523.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2322.4923.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.6121.8723.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.9722.4522.93
Details

Sunstone Hotel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sunstone Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sunstone Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sunstone Hotel Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sunstone Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Sunstone Hotel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sunstone Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sunstone Hotel Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sunstone Hotel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Sunstone Hotel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sunstone Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sunstone Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunstone Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding212.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments101.2 M

Sunstone Hotel Technical Analysis

Sunstone Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sunstone Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sunstone Hotel Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sunstone Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sunstone Hotel Predictive Forecast Models

Sunstone Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sunstone Hotel's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sunstone Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sunstone Hotel Investors

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sunstone Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sunstone Hotel Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sunstone Hotel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Sunstone Preferred Stock

Sunstone Hotel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sunstone Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sunstone with respect to the benefits of owning Sunstone Hotel security.