Health Biotchnology Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.81

SHPAX Fund  USD 20.55  0.04  0.20%   
Health Biotchnology's future price is the expected price of Health Biotchnology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Health Biotchnology Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Health Biotchnology Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Health Biotchnology Correlation, Health Biotchnology Hype Analysis, Health Biotchnology Volatility, Health Biotchnology History as well as Health Biotchnology Performance.
  
Please specify Health Biotchnology's target price for which you would like Health Biotchnology odds to be computed.

Health Biotchnology Target Price Odds to finish below 19.81

The tendency of Health Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 19.81  or more in 90 days
 20.55 90 days 19.81 
about 1.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Health Biotchnology to drop to $ 19.81  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.07 (This Health Biotchnology Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Health Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Health Biotchnology price to stay between $ 19.81  and its current price of $20.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Health Biotchnology has a beta of 0.58. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Health Biotchnology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Health Biotchnology Portfolio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Health Biotchnology Portfolio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Health Biotchnology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Health Biotchnology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Health Biotchnology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7620.5521.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8320.6221.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7520.5521.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.9920.3520.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Health Biotchnology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Health Biotchnology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Health Biotchnology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Health Biotchnology.

Health Biotchnology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Health Biotchnology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Health Biotchnology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Health Biotchnology Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Health Biotchnology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Health Biotchnology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Health Biotchnology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Health Biotchnology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Health Biotchnology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 95.99% of its assets in stocks

Health Biotchnology Technical Analysis

Health Biotchnology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Health Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Health Biotchnology Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Health Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Health Biotchnology Predictive Forecast Models

Health Biotchnology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Health Biotchnology's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Health Biotchnology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Health Biotchnology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Health Biotchnology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Health Biotchnology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Health Biotchnology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 95.99% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Health Mutual Fund

Health Biotchnology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Health Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Health with respect to the benefits of owning Health Biotchnology security.
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