Shurgard Self (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.59
| SHUR Stock | 39.05 0.15 0.39% |
Shurgard |
Shurgard Self Target Price Odds to finish below 37.59
The tendency of Shurgard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 37.59 or more in 90 days |
| 39.05 | 90 days | 37.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shurgard Self to drop to 37.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Shurgard Self Storage probability density function shows the probability of Shurgard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shurgard Self Storage price to stay between 37.59 and its current price of 39.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shurgard Self has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shurgard Self average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shurgard Self Storage will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shurgard Self Storage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Shurgard Self Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shurgard Self
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shurgard Self Storage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shurgard Self Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shurgard Self is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shurgard Self's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shurgard Self Storage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shurgard Self within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Shurgard Self Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shurgard Self for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shurgard Self Storage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Shurgard Self Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shurgard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shurgard Self's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shurgard Self's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 219.2 M |
Shurgard Self Technical Analysis
Shurgard Self's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shurgard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shurgard Self Storage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shurgard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shurgard Self Predictive Forecast Models
Shurgard Self's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shurgard Self's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shurgard Self's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shurgard Self Storage
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shurgard Self for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shurgard Self Storage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Shurgard Stock Analysis
When running Shurgard Self's price analysis, check to measure Shurgard Self's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shurgard Self is operating at the current time. Most of Shurgard Self's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shurgard Self's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shurgard Self's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shurgard Self to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.