Shandong Weigao Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.5

SHWGY Stock  USD 2.50  0.14  5.93%   
Shandong Weigao's future price is the expected price of Shandong Weigao instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shandong Weigao Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shandong Weigao Backtesting, Shandong Weigao Valuation, Shandong Weigao Correlation, Shandong Weigao Hype Analysis, Shandong Weigao Volatility, Shandong Weigao History as well as Shandong Weigao Performance.
  
Please specify Shandong Weigao's target price for which you would like Shandong Weigao odds to be computed.

Shandong Weigao Target Price Odds to finish below 2.5

The tendency of Shandong Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2.50 90 days 2.50 
about 51.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shandong Weigao to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 51.29 (This Shandong Weigao Group probability density function shows the probability of Shandong Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Shandong Weigao has a beta of 0.31. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shandong Weigao average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shandong Weigao Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shandong Weigao Group has an alpha of 0.302, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shandong Weigao Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shandong Weigao

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shandong Weigao Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.507.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.186.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.557.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.152.462.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shandong Weigao. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shandong Weigao's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shandong Weigao's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shandong Weigao Group.

Shandong Weigao Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shandong Weigao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shandong Weigao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shandong Weigao Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shandong Weigao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Shandong Weigao Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shandong Weigao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shandong Weigao Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shandong Weigao had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Shandong Weigao Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shandong Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shandong Weigao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shandong Weigao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.5 B

Shandong Weigao Technical Analysis

Shandong Weigao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shandong Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shandong Weigao Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shandong Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shandong Weigao Predictive Forecast Models

Shandong Weigao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shandong Weigao's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shandong Weigao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shandong Weigao Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shandong Weigao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shandong Weigao Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shandong Weigao had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Shandong Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Shandong Weigao's price analysis, check to measure Shandong Weigao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shandong Weigao is operating at the current time. Most of Shandong Weigao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shandong Weigao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shandong Weigao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shandong Weigao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.