Silicon Craft (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.58

SICT Stock  THB 4.44  0.02  0.45%   
Silicon Craft's future price is the expected price of Silicon Craft instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Silicon Craft Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Silicon Craft Backtesting, Silicon Craft Valuation, Silicon Craft Correlation, Silicon Craft Hype Analysis, Silicon Craft Volatility, Silicon Craft History as well as Silicon Craft Performance.
  
Please specify Silicon Craft's target price for which you would like Silicon Craft odds to be computed.

Silicon Craft Target Price Odds to finish over 18.58

The tendency of Silicon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  18.58  or more in 90 days
 4.44 90 days 18.58 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silicon Craft to move over  18.58  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Silicon Craft Technology probability density function shows the probability of Silicon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silicon Craft Technology price to stay between its current price of  4.44  and  18.58  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Silicon Craft has a beta of 0.4. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Silicon Craft average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Silicon Craft Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Silicon Craft Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Silicon Craft Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Silicon Craft

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silicon Craft Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.524.468.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.184.128.06
Details

Silicon Craft Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silicon Craft is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silicon Craft's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silicon Craft Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silicon Craft within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Silicon Craft Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silicon Craft for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silicon Craft Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silicon Craft generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Silicon Craft has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Silicon Craft Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silicon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silicon Craft's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silicon Craft's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding400 M

Silicon Craft Technical Analysis

Silicon Craft's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silicon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silicon Craft Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silicon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Silicon Craft Predictive Forecast Models

Silicon Craft's time-series forecasting models is one of many Silicon Craft's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silicon Craft's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Silicon Craft Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Silicon Craft for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silicon Craft Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silicon Craft generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Silicon Craft has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Silicon Stock

Silicon Craft financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silicon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silicon with respect to the benefits of owning Silicon Craft security.