Sif Holding (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.47
| SIFG Stock | EUR 12.20 0.18 1.50% |
Sif |
Sif Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 9.47
The tendency of Sif Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 9.47 or more in 90 days |
| 12.20 | 90 days | 9.47 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sif Holding to drop to € 9.47 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sif Holding NV probability density function shows the probability of Sif Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sif Holding NV price to stay between € 9.47 and its current price of €12.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sif Holding NV has a beta of -0.0086. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sif Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sif Holding NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sif Holding NV has an alpha of 0.011, implying that it can generate a 0.011 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sif Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sif Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sif Holding NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sif Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sif Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sif Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sif Holding NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sif Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0086 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Sif Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sif Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sif Holding NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sif Holding NV has accumulated 30.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 36.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sif Holding NV has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sif Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sif Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sif Holding NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sif to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sif Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 54.0% of Sif Holding outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sif Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sif Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sif Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sif Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.5 M |
Sif Holding Technical Analysis
Sif Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sif Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sif Holding NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sif Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sif Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Sif Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sif Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sif Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sif Holding NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sif Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sif Holding NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sif Holding NV has accumulated 30.88 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 36.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sif Holding NV has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sif Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sif Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sif Holding NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sif to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sif Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 54.0% of Sif Holding outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Sif Stock Analysis
When running Sif Holding's price analysis, check to measure Sif Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sif Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Sif Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sif Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sif Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sif Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.