Silverline Endustri (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.56
| SILVR Stock | TRY 20.40 0.10 0.49% |
Silverline |
Silverline Endustri Target Price Odds to finish below 20.56
The tendency of Silverline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 20.56 after 90 days |
| 20.40 | 90 days | 20.56 | about 73.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silverline Endustri to stay under 20.56 after 90 days from now is about 73.95 (This Silverline Endustri ve probability density function shows the probability of Silverline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silverline Endustri price to stay between its current price of 20.40 and 20.56 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Silverline Endustri ve has a beta of -0.84. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Silverline Endustri are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Silverline Endustri ve is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Silverline Endustri ve has an alpha of 0.4532, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Silverline Endustri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Silverline Endustri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silverline Endustri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Silverline Endustri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silverline Endustri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silverline Endustri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silverline Endustri ve, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silverline Endustri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Silverline Endustri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silverline Endustri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silverline Endustri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Silverline Endustri had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Silverline Endustri ve has accumulated 8.13 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Silverline Endustri has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Silverline Endustri until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Silverline Endustri's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Silverline Endustri sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Silverline to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Silverline Endustri's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 977.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.73 M. | |
| About 52.0% of Silverline Endustri outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Silverline Endustri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silverline Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silverline Endustri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silverline Endustri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 22.1 M |
Silverline Endustri Technical Analysis
Silverline Endustri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silverline Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silverline Endustri ve. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silverline Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Silverline Endustri Predictive Forecast Models
Silverline Endustri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Silverline Endustri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silverline Endustri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Silverline Endustri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Silverline Endustri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silverline Endustri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Silverline Endustri had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Silverline Endustri ve has accumulated 8.13 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Silverline Endustri has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Silverline Endustri until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Silverline Endustri's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Silverline Endustri sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Silverline to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Silverline Endustri's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 977.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.73 M. | |
| About 52.0% of Silverline Endustri outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Silverline Stock
Silverline Endustri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silverline Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silverline with respect to the benefits of owning Silverline Endustri security.