SINCLAIRS HOTELS (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 89.61
| SINCLAIR | 106.58 1.71 1.63% |
SINCLAIRS |
SINCLAIRS HOTELS Target Price Odds to finish below 89.61
The tendency of SINCLAIRS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 89.61 or more in 90 days |
| 106.58 | 90 days | 89.61 | about 7.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SINCLAIRS HOTELS to drop to 89.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.95 (This SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD probability density function shows the probability of SINCLAIRS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD price to stay between 89.61 and its current price of 106.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SINCLAIRS HOTELS has a beta of 0.5. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SINCLAIRS HOTELS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SINCLAIRS HOTELS Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for SINCLAIRS HOTELS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SINCLAIRS HOTELS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SINCLAIRS HOTELS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SINCLAIRS HOTELS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SINCLAIRS HOTELS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
SINCLAIRS HOTELS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SINCLAIRS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SINCLAIRS HOTELS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SINCLAIRS HOTELS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 588.4 M |
SINCLAIRS HOTELS Technical Analysis
SINCLAIRS HOTELS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SINCLAIRS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD. In general, you should focus on analyzing SINCLAIRS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SINCLAIRS HOTELS Predictive Forecast Models
SINCLAIRS HOTELS's time-series forecasting models is one of many SINCLAIRS HOTELS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SINCLAIRS HOTELS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards SINCLAIRS HOTELS in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, SINCLAIRS HOTELS's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from SINCLAIRS HOTELS options trading.
Other Information on Investing in SINCLAIRS Stock
SINCLAIRS HOTELS financial ratios help investors to determine whether SINCLAIRS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SINCLAIRS with respect to the benefits of owning SINCLAIRS HOTELS security.