Singhe Hospitals (Sri Lanka) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.48

SINHN0000  LKR 2.50  0.10  4.17%   
Singhe Hospitals' future price is the expected price of Singhe Hospitals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Singhe Hospitals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Singhe Hospitals Backtesting, Singhe Hospitals Valuation, Singhe Hospitals Correlation, Singhe Hospitals Hype Analysis, Singhe Hospitals Volatility, Singhe Hospitals History as well as Singhe Hospitals Performance.
  
Please specify Singhe Hospitals' target price for which you would like Singhe Hospitals odds to be computed.

Singhe Hospitals Target Price Odds to finish over 2.48

The tendency of Singhe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  2.48  in 90 days
 2.50 90 days 2.48 
about 24.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Singhe Hospitals to stay above  2.48  in 90 days from now is about 24.82 (This Singhe Hospitals probability density function shows the probability of Singhe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Singhe Hospitals price to stay between  2.48  and its current price of 2.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Singhe Hospitals has a beta of -0.0778. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Singhe Hospitals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Singhe Hospitals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Singhe Hospitals has an alpha of 0.1828, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Singhe Hospitals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Singhe Hospitals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Singhe Hospitals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.505.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.085.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.415.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.342.442.54
Details

Singhe Hospitals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Singhe Hospitals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Singhe Hospitals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Singhe Hospitals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Singhe Hospitals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Singhe Hospitals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Singhe Hospitals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Singhe Hospitals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Singhe Hospitals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Singhe Hospitals Technical Analysis

Singhe Hospitals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Singhe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Singhe Hospitals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Singhe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Singhe Hospitals Predictive Forecast Models

Singhe Hospitals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Singhe Hospitals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Singhe Hospitals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Singhe Hospitals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Singhe Hospitals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Singhe Hospitals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Singhe Hospitals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Singhe Stock

Singhe Hospitals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Singhe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Singhe with respect to the benefits of owning Singhe Hospitals security.