Sitc International Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.09

SITIF Stock  USD 2.38  0.00  0.00%   
SITC International's future price is the expected price of SITC International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SITC International Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SITC International Backtesting, SITC International Valuation, SITC International Correlation, SITC International Hype Analysis, SITC International Volatility, SITC International History as well as SITC International Performance.
  
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SITC International Target Price Odds to finish below 0.09

The tendency of SITC Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.09  or more in 90 days
 2.38 90 days 0.09 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SITC International to drop to $ 0.09  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SITC International Holdings probability density function shows the probability of SITC Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SITC International price to stay between $ 0.09  and its current price of $2.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SITC International Holdings has a beta of -0.8. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SITC International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SITC International Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SITC International Holdings has an alpha of 0.7764, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SITC International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SITC International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SITC International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.385.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.975.23
Details

SITC International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SITC International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SITC International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SITC International Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SITC International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.8
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

SITC International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SITC International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SITC International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SITC International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Golden Ocean Group Given Hold Rating at Pareto Securities

SITC International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SITC Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SITC International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SITC International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 B

SITC International Technical Analysis

SITC International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SITC Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SITC International Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing SITC Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SITC International Predictive Forecast Models

SITC International's time-series forecasting models is one of many SITC International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SITC International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SITC International

Checking the ongoing alerts about SITC International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SITC International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SITC International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Golden Ocean Group Given Hold Rating at Pareto Securities

Other Information on Investing in SITC Pink Sheet

SITC International financial ratios help investors to determine whether SITC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SITC with respect to the benefits of owning SITC International security.