Sitka Gold Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.26

SITKF Stock  USD 0.30  0.02  7.14%   
Sitka Gold's future price is the expected price of Sitka Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sitka Gold Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sitka Gold Backtesting, Sitka Gold Valuation, Sitka Gold Correlation, Sitka Gold Hype Analysis, Sitka Gold Volatility, Sitka Gold History as well as Sitka Gold Performance.
  
Please specify Sitka Gold's target price for which you would like Sitka Gold odds to be computed.

Sitka Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 0.26

The tendency of Sitka OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.26  or more in 90 days
 0.30 90 days 0.26 
about 49.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sitka Gold to drop to $ 0.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.91 (This Sitka Gold Corp probability density function shows the probability of Sitka OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sitka Gold Corp price to stay between $ 0.26  and its current price of $0.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sitka Gold has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sitka Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sitka Gold Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Sitka Gold Corp has an alpha of 1.0581, implying that it can generate a 1.06 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sitka Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sitka Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sitka Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.307.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.247.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.347.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.200.250.30
Details

Sitka Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sitka Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sitka Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sitka Gold Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sitka Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Sitka Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sitka Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sitka Gold Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sitka Gold Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sitka Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sitka Gold Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sitka Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Sitka Gold Corp has accumulated about 5.77 M in cash with (1.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.

Sitka Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sitka OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sitka Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sitka Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111 M

Sitka Gold Technical Analysis

Sitka Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sitka OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sitka Gold Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sitka OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sitka Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Sitka Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sitka Gold's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sitka Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sitka Gold Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sitka Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sitka Gold Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sitka Gold Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sitka Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Sitka Gold Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sitka Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Sitka Gold Corp has accumulated about 5.77 M in cash with (1.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.

Other Information on Investing in Sitka OTC Stock

Sitka Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sitka OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sitka with respect to the benefits of owning Sitka Gold security.