Sigdo Koppers (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1059.9

SK Stock  CLP 1,045  10.20  0.99%   
Sigdo Koppers' future price is the expected price of Sigdo Koppers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sigdo Koppers performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sigdo Koppers Backtesting, Sigdo Koppers Valuation, Sigdo Koppers Correlation, Sigdo Koppers Hype Analysis, Sigdo Koppers Volatility, Sigdo Koppers History as well as Sigdo Koppers Performance.
  
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Sigdo Koppers Target Price Odds to finish below 1059.9

The tendency of Sigdo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1,060  after 90 days
 1,045 90 days 1,060 
about 85.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sigdo Koppers to stay under  1,060  after 90 days from now is about 85.94 (This Sigdo Koppers probability density function shows the probability of Sigdo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sigdo Koppers price to stay between its current price of  1,045  and  1,060  at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sigdo Koppers has a beta of -0.0301. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sigdo Koppers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sigdo Koppers is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sigdo Koppers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sigdo Koppers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sigdo Koppers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sigdo Koppers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sigdo Koppers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0441,0451,045
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0441,0451,045
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0331,0331,034
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0341,0421,050
Details

Sigdo Koppers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sigdo Koppers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sigdo Koppers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sigdo Koppers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sigdo Koppers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
10.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Sigdo Koppers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sigdo Koppers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sigdo Koppers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sigdo Koppers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sigdo Koppers has accumulated 807.86 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sigdo Koppers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sigdo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sigdo Koppers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sigdo Koppers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Sigdo Koppers Technical Analysis

Sigdo Koppers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sigdo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sigdo Koppers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sigdo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sigdo Koppers Predictive Forecast Models

Sigdo Koppers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sigdo Koppers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sigdo Koppers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sigdo Koppers

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sigdo Koppers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sigdo Koppers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sigdo Koppers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sigdo Koppers has accumulated 807.86 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sigdo Stock

Sigdo Koppers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sigdo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sigdo with respect to the benefits of owning Sigdo Koppers security.