Sekar Bumi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 447.53
| SKBM Stock | IDR 394.00 6.00 1.55% |
Sekar |
Sekar Bumi Target Price Odds to finish below 447.53
The tendency of Sekar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 447.53 after 90 days |
| 394.00 | 90 days | 447.53 | about 80.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sekar Bumi to stay under 447.53 after 90 days from now is about 80.09 (This Sekar Bumi Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Sekar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sekar Bumi Tbk price to stay between its current price of 394.00 and 447.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sekar Bumi Tbk has a beta of -0.31. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sekar Bumi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sekar Bumi Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sekar Bumi Tbk has an alpha of 0.616, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sekar Bumi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sekar Bumi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sekar Bumi Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sekar Bumi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sekar Bumi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sekar Bumi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sekar Bumi Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sekar Bumi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 64.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Sekar Bumi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sekar Bumi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sekar Bumi Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sekar Bumi Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Sekar Bumi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sekar Bumi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sekar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sekar Bumi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sekar Bumi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 216.9 B |
Sekar Bumi Technical Analysis
Sekar Bumi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sekar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sekar Bumi Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sekar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sekar Bumi Predictive Forecast Models
Sekar Bumi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sekar Bumi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sekar Bumi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sekar Bumi Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sekar Bumi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sekar Bumi Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sekar Bumi Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Sekar Bumi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sekar Stock
Sekar Bumi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sekar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sekar with respect to the benefits of owning Sekar Bumi security.