AB SKF (Sweden) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 187.32

SKF-A Stock  SEK 222.50  1.50  0.67%   
AB SKF's future price is the expected price of AB SKF instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AB SKF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AB SKF Backtesting, AB SKF Valuation, AB SKF Correlation, AB SKF Hype Analysis, AB SKF Volatility, AB SKF History as well as AB SKF Performance.
  
Please specify AB SKF's target price for which you would like AB SKF odds to be computed.

AB SKF Target Price Odds to finish over 187.32

The tendency of SKF-A Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 187.32  in 90 days
 222.50 90 days 187.32 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AB SKF to stay above kr 187.32  in 90 days from now is under 95 (This AB SKF probability density function shows the probability of SKF-A Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AB SKF price to stay between kr 187.32  and its current price of kr222.5 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AB SKF has a beta of 0.29. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, AB SKF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AB SKF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AB SKF has an alpha of 0.3008, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AB SKF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AB SKF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB SKF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
220.60222.50224.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
200.25262.55264.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
232.82234.72236.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
194.07207.57221.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AB SKF. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AB SKF's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AB SKF's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AB SKF.

AB SKF Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AB SKF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AB SKF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AB SKF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AB SKF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
9.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

AB SKF Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AB SKF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AB SKF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

AB SKF Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SKF-A Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AB SKF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AB SKF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding455.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 B

AB SKF Technical Analysis

AB SKF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SKF-A Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AB SKF. In general, you should focus on analyzing SKF-A Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AB SKF Predictive Forecast Models

AB SKF's time-series forecasting models is one of many AB SKF's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AB SKF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AB SKF

Checking the ongoing alerts about AB SKF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AB SKF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for SKF-A Stock Analysis

When running AB SKF's price analysis, check to measure AB SKF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AB SKF is operating at the current time. Most of AB SKF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AB SKF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AB SKF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AB SKF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.