Skjern Bank (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 134.89
| SKJE Stock | DKK 161.50 4.50 2.87% |
Skjern |
Skjern Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 134.89
The tendency of Skjern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 134.89 or more in 90 days |
| 161.50 | 90 days | 134.89 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Skjern Bank to drop to kr 134.89 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Skjern Bank AS probability density function shows the probability of Skjern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Skjern Bank AS price to stay between kr 134.89 and its current price of kr161.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Skjern Bank has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Skjern Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Skjern Bank AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Skjern Bank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Skjern Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Skjern Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skjern Bank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Skjern Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Skjern Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Skjern Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Skjern Bank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Skjern Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Skjern Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Skjern Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Skjern Bank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Skjern Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Skjern Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Skjern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Skjern Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skjern Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.6 M |
Skjern Bank Technical Analysis
Skjern Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Skjern Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Skjern Bank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Skjern Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Skjern Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Skjern Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Skjern Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Skjern Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Skjern Bank AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Skjern Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Skjern Bank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Skjern Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Skjern Stock
Skjern Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Skjern Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Skjern with respect to the benefits of owning Skjern Bank security.