Skjern Bank (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 138.9

SKJE Stock  DKK 157.00  4.00  2.61%   
Skjern Bank's future price is the expected price of Skjern Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Skjern Bank AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Skjern Bank Backtesting, Skjern Bank Valuation, Skjern Bank Correlation, Skjern Bank Hype Analysis, Skjern Bank Volatility, Skjern Bank History as well as Skjern Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Skjern Bank's target price for which you would like Skjern Bank odds to be computed.

Skjern Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 138.9

The tendency of Skjern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 138.90  in 90 days
 157.00 90 days 138.90 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Skjern Bank to stay above kr 138.90  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Skjern Bank AS probability density function shows the probability of Skjern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Skjern Bank AS price to stay between kr 138.90  and its current price of kr157.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Skjern Bank has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Skjern Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Skjern Bank AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Skjern Bank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Skjern Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Skjern Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skjern Bank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
155.65157.00158.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
149.37150.72172.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
160.69162.03163.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
155.04156.52158.00
Details

Skjern Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Skjern Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Skjern Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Skjern Bank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Skjern Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
12.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

Skjern Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Skjern Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Skjern Bank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Skjern Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Skjern Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Skjern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Skjern Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skjern Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.6 M

Skjern Bank Technical Analysis

Skjern Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Skjern Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Skjern Bank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Skjern Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Skjern Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Skjern Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Skjern Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Skjern Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Skjern Bank AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Skjern Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Skjern Bank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Skjern Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Skjern Stock

Skjern Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Skjern Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Skjern with respect to the benefits of owning Skjern Bank security.