Sekar Laut (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 172.08
| SKLT Stock | IDR 178.00 4.00 2.20% |
Sekar |
Sekar Laut Target Price Odds to finish below 172.08
The tendency of Sekar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 172.08 or more in 90 days |
| 178.00 | 90 days | 172.08 | about 21.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sekar Laut to drop to 172.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.45 (This Sekar Laut Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Sekar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sekar Laut Tbk price to stay between 172.08 and its current price of 178.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sekar Laut Tbk has a beta of -1.77. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Sekar Laut Tbk are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Sekar Laut is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Sekar Laut Tbk has an alpha of 0.3692, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sekar Laut Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sekar Laut
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sekar Laut Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sekar Laut Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sekar Laut is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sekar Laut's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sekar Laut Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sekar Laut within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Sekar Laut Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sekar Laut for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sekar Laut Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sekar Laut Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sekar Laut Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sekar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sekar Laut's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sekar Laut's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 621.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 127.5 B |
Sekar Laut Technical Analysis
Sekar Laut's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sekar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sekar Laut Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sekar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sekar Laut Predictive Forecast Models
Sekar Laut's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sekar Laut's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sekar Laut's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sekar Laut Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sekar Laut for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sekar Laut Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sekar Laut Tbk had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sekar Stock
Sekar Laut financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sekar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sekar with respect to the benefits of owning Sekar Laut security.