Sleep Number (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.01

SL2 Stock  EUR 14.30  1.00  7.52%   
Sleep Number's future price is the expected price of Sleep Number instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sleep Number Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sleep Number Backtesting, Sleep Number Valuation, Sleep Number Correlation, Sleep Number Hype Analysis, Sleep Number Volatility, Sleep Number History as well as Sleep Number Performance.
  
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Sleep Number Target Price Odds to finish over 12.01

The tendency of Sleep Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 12.01  in 90 days
 14.30 90 days 12.01 
about 87.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sleep Number to stay above € 12.01  in 90 days from now is about 87.48 (This Sleep Number Corp probability density function shows the probability of Sleep Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sleep Number Corp price to stay between € 12.01  and its current price of €14.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.45 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sleep Number will likely underperform. Additionally Sleep Number Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sleep Number Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sleep Number

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sleep Number Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.5514.3020.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.2612.0117.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.4215.1720.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1513.1714.18
Details

Sleep Number Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sleep Number is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sleep Number's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sleep Number Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sleep Number within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.45
σ
Overall volatility
1.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Sleep Number Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sleep Number for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sleep Number Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sleep Number Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sleep Number Corp has accumulated 833.91 M in total debt. Sleep Number Corp has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sleep Number until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sleep Number's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sleep Number Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sleep to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sleep Number's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Sleep Number Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sleep Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sleep Number's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sleep Number's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22 M

Sleep Number Technical Analysis

Sleep Number's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sleep Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sleep Number Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sleep Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sleep Number Predictive Forecast Models

Sleep Number's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sleep Number's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sleep Number's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sleep Number Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sleep Number for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sleep Number Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sleep Number Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sleep Number Corp has accumulated 833.91 M in total debt. Sleep Number Corp has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sleep Number until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sleep Number's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sleep Number Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sleep to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sleep Number's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Sleep Stock

When determining whether Sleep Number Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sleep Number's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sleep Number's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sleep Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sleep Number Backtesting, Sleep Number Valuation, Sleep Number Correlation, Sleep Number Hype Analysis, Sleep Number Volatility, Sleep Number History as well as Sleep Number Performance.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sleep Number's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sleep Number is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sleep Number's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.