Silver Castle (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 548.8
| SLCL Stock | 551.90 56.30 9.26% |
Silver |
Silver Castle Target Price Odds to finish over 548.8
The tendency of Silver Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 548.80 in 90 days |
| 551.90 | 90 days | 548.80 | about 84.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silver Castle to stay above 548.80 in 90 days from now is about 84.25 (This Silver Castle Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Silver Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silver Castle Holdings price to stay between 548.80 and its current price of 551.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Silver Castle has a beta of 0.21. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Silver Castle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Silver Castle Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Silver Castle Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Silver Castle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Silver Castle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Castle Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Silver Castle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silver Castle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silver Castle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silver Castle Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silver Castle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 67.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Silver Castle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silver Castle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silver Castle Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Silver Castle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silver Castle has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Silver Castle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silver Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silver Castle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silver Castle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 9.8 M |
Silver Castle Technical Analysis
Silver Castle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silver Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silver Castle Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silver Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Silver Castle Predictive Forecast Models
Silver Castle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Silver Castle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silver Castle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Silver Castle Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Silver Castle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silver Castle Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Silver Castle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silver Castle has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Silver Stock
Silver Castle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silver Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silver with respect to the benefits of owning Silver Castle security.