Sun Life (Philippines) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3307.54

SLF Stock   3,600  50.00  1.41%   
Sun Life's future price is the expected price of Sun Life instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sun Life Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sun Life Backtesting, Sun Life Valuation, Sun Life Correlation, Sun Life Hype Analysis, Sun Life Volatility, Sun Life History as well as Sun Life Performance.
  
Please specify Sun Life's target price for which you would like Sun Life odds to be computed.

Sun Life Target Price Odds to finish below 3307.54

The tendency of Sun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  3,308  or more in 90 days
 3,600 90 days 3,308 
about 88.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sun Life to drop to  3,308  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.97 (This Sun Life Financial probability density function shows the probability of Sun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sun Life Financial price to stay between  3,308  and its current price of 3600.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sun Life Financial has a beta of -0.58. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sun Life are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sun Life Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sun Life Financial has an alpha of 0.5439, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sun Life Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sun Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sun Life Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,5963,6003,604
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,8702,8743,960
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,6023,6063,610
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,1733,4483,723
Details

Sun Life Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sun Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sun Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sun Life Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sun Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.58
σ
Overall volatility
210.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Sun Life Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sun Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sun Life Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sun Life Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sun Life generates negative cash flow from operations

Sun Life Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sun Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sun Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid1.4 B

Sun Life Technical Analysis

Sun Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sun Life Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sun Life Predictive Forecast Models

Sun Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sun Life's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sun Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sun Life Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sun Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sun Life Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sun Life Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sun Life generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Sun Stock

When determining whether Sun Life Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sun Life's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sun Life's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sun Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sun Life Backtesting, Sun Life Valuation, Sun Life Correlation, Sun Life Hype Analysis, Sun Life Volatility, Sun Life History as well as Sun Life Performance.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sun Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sun Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sun Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.