Silence Therapeutics Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.17
| SLN Stock | USD 7.67 0.51 6.23% |
Closest to current price Silence long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Silence |
Silence Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 0.17
The tendency of Silence Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.17 or more in 90 days |
| 7.67 | 90 days | 0.17 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silence Therapeutics to drop to $ 0.17 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Silence Therapeutics PLC probability density function shows the probability of Silence Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silence Therapeutics PLC price to stay between $ 0.17 and its current price of $7.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.55 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Silence Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Silence Therapeutics PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Silence Therapeutics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Silence Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silence Therapeutics PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Silence Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silence Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silence Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silence Therapeutics PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silence Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Silence Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silence Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silence Therapeutics PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Silence Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silence Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Silence Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 25.38 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (50.31 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.62 M. | |
| Silence Therapeutics PLC has about 51.56 M in cash with (39.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.72. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BMO expects Silence Therapeutics to surge on Zerlasiran partnership, keeps Outperform rating |
Silence Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silence Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silence Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silence Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54 M |
Silence Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Silence Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silence Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silence Therapeutics PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silence Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Silence Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Silence Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Silence Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silence Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Silence Therapeutics PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Silence Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silence Therapeutics PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Silence Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silence Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Silence Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 25.38 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (50.31 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.62 M. | |
| Silence Therapeutics PLC has about 51.56 M in cash with (39.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.72. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BMO expects Silence Therapeutics to surge on Zerlasiran partnership, keeps Outperform rating |
Check out Silence Therapeutics Backtesting, Silence Therapeutics Valuation, Silence Therapeutics Correlation, Silence Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Silence Therapeutics Volatility, Silence Therapeutics History as well as Silence Therapeutics Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silence Therapeutics. If investors know Silence will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Silence Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.71) | Revenue Per Share 0.429 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.93) | Return On Assets (0.22) | Return On Equity (0.64) |
The market value of Silence Therapeutics PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Silence that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Silence Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Silence Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Silence Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Silence Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silence Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silence Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silence Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.