Southland Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.9
| SLND Stock | 3.21 0.18 5.94% |
Southland |
Southland Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 2.9
The tendency of Southland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 2.90 in 90 days |
| 3.21 | 90 days | 2.90 | about 92.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Southland Holdings to stay above 2.90 in 90 days from now is about 92.49 (This Southland Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Southland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Southland Holdings price to stay between 2.90 and its current price of 3.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.56 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Southland Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Southland Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Southland Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Southland Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southland Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southland Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Southland Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Southland Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Southland Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Southland Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Southland Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Southland Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Southland Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Southland Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Southland Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Southland Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (18.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 140.93 M. | |
| Southland Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Southland Holdings, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Southland Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Southland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Southland Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southland Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.2 M |
Southland Holdings Technical Analysis
Southland Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Southland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Southland Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Southland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Southland Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Southland Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Southland Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Southland Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Southland Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Southland Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Southland Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Southland Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Southland Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Southland Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (18.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 140.93 M. | |
| Southland Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Southland Holdings, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out Southland Holdings Backtesting, Southland Holdings Valuation, Southland Holdings Correlation, Southland Holdings Hype Analysis, Southland Holdings Volatility, Southland Holdings History as well as Southland Holdings Performance. For information on how to trade Southland Stock refer to our How to Trade Southland Stock guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southland Holdings. If investors know Southland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southland Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.23) | Revenue Per Share 21.429 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) | Return On Assets (0.06) | Return On Equity (0.52) |
The market value of Southland Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southland Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southland Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southland Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southland Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southland Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southland Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southland Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.