Salarius Pharmaceuticals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| SLRX Stock | USD 1.37 0.09 6.16% |
Salarius |
Salarius Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of Salarius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 1.37 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Salarius Pharmaceuticals to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Salarius Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of Salarius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Salarius Pharmaceuticals price to stay between $ 0.02 and its current price of $1.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Salarius Pharmaceuticals has a beta of 0.92. This usually implies Salarius Pharmaceuticals market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Salarius Pharmaceuticals is expected to follow. Additionally Salarius Pharmaceuticals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Salarius Pharmaceuticals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Salarius Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salarius Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Salarius Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Salarius Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Salarius Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Salarius Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Salarius Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Salarius Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Salarius Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Salarius Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Salarius Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (12.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.84 M). | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 22.65 M in cash with (12.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC Increases Stake in Salarius Pharmaceuticals Inc |
Salarius Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Salarius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Salarius Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Salarius Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 M |
Salarius Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis
Salarius Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Salarius Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Salarius Pharmaceuticals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Salarius Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Salarius Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models
Salarius Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Salarius Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Salarius Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Salarius Pharmaceuticals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Salarius Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Salarius Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (12.54 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.84 M). | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 22.65 M in cash with (12.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Salarius Pharmaceuticals has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC Increases Stake in Salarius Pharmaceuticals Inc |
Additional Tools for Salarius Stock Analysis
When running Salarius Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Salarius Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Salarius Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Salarius Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Salarius Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Salarius Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Salarius Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.