Smartiks Yazilim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.29
| SMART Stock | TRY 28.80 0.04 0.14% |
Smartiks |
Smartiks Yazilim Target Price Odds to finish over 24.29
The tendency of Smartiks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 24.29 in 90 days |
| 28.80 | 90 days | 24.29 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smartiks Yazilim to stay above 24.29 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Smartiks Yazilim AS probability density function shows the probability of Smartiks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Smartiks Yazilim price to stay between 24.29 and its current price of 28.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Smartiks Yazilim AS has a beta of -0.18. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Smartiks Yazilim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Smartiks Yazilim AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Smartiks Yazilim AS has an alpha of 0.0595, implying that it can generate a 0.0595 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Smartiks Yazilim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Smartiks Yazilim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smartiks Yazilim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smartiks Yazilim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Smartiks Yazilim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smartiks Yazilim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smartiks Yazilim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smartiks Yazilim AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smartiks Yazilim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Smartiks Yazilim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smartiks Yazilim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smartiks Yazilim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Smartiks Yazilim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Smartiks Yazilim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Smartiks Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Smartiks Yazilim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smartiks Yazilim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.9 M |
Smartiks Yazilim Technical Analysis
Smartiks Yazilim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Smartiks Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Smartiks Yazilim AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Smartiks Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Smartiks Yazilim Predictive Forecast Models
Smartiks Yazilim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Smartiks Yazilim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Smartiks Yazilim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Smartiks Yazilim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Smartiks Yazilim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Smartiks Yazilim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Smartiks Yazilim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Smartiks Stock
Smartiks Yazilim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Smartiks Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Smartiks with respect to the benefits of owning Smartiks Yazilim security.