Southern Missouri Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 65.65
| SMBC Stock | USD 66.16 0.36 0.55% |
Southern |
Southern Missouri Target Price Odds to finish over 65.65
The tendency of Southern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 65.65 in 90 days |
| 66.16 | 90 days | 65.65 | about 5.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Southern Missouri to stay above $ 65.65 in 90 days from now is about 5.95 (This Southern Missouri Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Southern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Southern Missouri Bancorp price to stay between $ 65.65 and its current price of $66.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.27 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.24 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Southern Missouri will likely underperform. Additionally Southern Missouri Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Southern Missouri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Southern Missouri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern Missouri Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southern Missouri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Southern Missouri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Southern Missouri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Southern Missouri Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Southern Missouri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.005 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Southern Missouri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Southern Missouri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Southern Missouri Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Insider Trading |
Southern Missouri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Southern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Southern Missouri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern Missouri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14 M |
Southern Missouri Technical Analysis
Southern Missouri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Southern Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Southern Missouri Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Southern Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Southern Missouri Predictive Forecast Models
Southern Missouri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Southern Missouri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Southern Missouri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Southern Missouri Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Southern Missouri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Southern Missouri Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Insider Trading |
Check out Southern Missouri Backtesting, Southern Missouri Valuation, Southern Missouri Correlation, Southern Missouri Hype Analysis, Southern Missouri Volatility, Southern Missouri History as well as Southern Missouri Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern Missouri. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southern Missouri listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 0.86 | Earnings Share 4.36 | Revenue Per Share 14.371 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 |
The market value of Southern Missouri Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southern Missouri's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southern Missouri's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southern Missouri's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southern Missouri's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Missouri's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Missouri is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southern Missouri's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.