Sembcorp Marine Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 8.26
| SMBMF Stock | USD 1.47 0.07 5.00% |
Sembcorp |
Sembcorp Marine Target Price Odds to finish over 8.26
The tendency of Sembcorp Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.26 or more in 90 days |
| 1.47 | 90 days | 8.26 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sembcorp Marine to move over $ 8.26 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Sembcorp Marine probability density function shows the probability of Sembcorp Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sembcorp Marine price to stay between its current price of $ 1.47 and $ 8.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sembcorp Marine has a beta of -0.0199. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sembcorp Marine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sembcorp Marine is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sembcorp Marine has an alpha of 0.5473, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sembcorp Marine Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sembcorp Marine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sembcorp Marine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sembcorp Marine Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sembcorp Marine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sembcorp Marine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sembcorp Marine, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sembcorp Marine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Sembcorp Marine Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sembcorp Marine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sembcorp Marine can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sembcorp Marine is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sembcorp Marine may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Sembcorp Marine appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.17 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.08 B). | |
| Sembcorp Marine has accumulated about 1.42 B in cash with (589.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from abcnews.go.com: Disposition of 2362 shares by Christoph Feddersen of L3Harris Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Sembcorp Marine Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sembcorp Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sembcorp Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sembcorp Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 B |
Sembcorp Marine Technical Analysis
Sembcorp Marine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sembcorp Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sembcorp Marine. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sembcorp Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sembcorp Marine Predictive Forecast Models
Sembcorp Marine's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sembcorp Marine's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sembcorp Marine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sembcorp Marine
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sembcorp Marine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sembcorp Marine help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sembcorp Marine is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sembcorp Marine may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Sembcorp Marine appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.17 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.08 B). | |
| Sembcorp Marine has accumulated about 1.42 B in cash with (589.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from abcnews.go.com: Disposition of 2362 shares by Christoph Feddersen of L3Harris Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Other Information on Investing in Sembcorp Pink Sheet
Sembcorp Marine financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sembcorp Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sembcorp with respect to the benefits of owning Sembcorp Marine security.