Smc Entertainment Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.000013
| SMCE Stock | USD 0 0.0001 7.69% |
SMC |
SMC Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 0.000013
The tendency of SMC Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.000013 or more in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0.000013 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SMC Entertainment to drop to $ 0.000013 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SMC Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of SMC Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SMC Entertainment price to stay between $ 0.000013 and its current price of $0.0012 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.55 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SMC Entertainment will likely underperform. Additionally SMC Entertainment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SMC Entertainment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SMC Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SMC Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SMC Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SMC Entertainment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SMC Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SMC Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SMC Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SMC Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.9 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0004 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
SMC Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SMC Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SMC Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SMC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SMC Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SMC Entertainment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SMC Entertainment has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| SMC Entertainment currently holds 146.59 K in liabilities. SMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist SMC Entertainment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SMC Entertainment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SMC Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SMC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SMC Entertainment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 55.47 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.12 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.43 K. | |
| SMC Entertainment currently holds about 8.1 K in cash with (59.22 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Sonnet BioTherapeutics Releases Virtual Investor What this Means Segment |
SMC Entertainment Technical Analysis
SMC Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SMC Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SMC Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing SMC Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SMC Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models
SMC Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many SMC Entertainment's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SMC Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SMC Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about SMC Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SMC Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SMC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SMC Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SMC Entertainment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SMC Entertainment has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| SMC Entertainment currently holds 146.59 K in liabilities. SMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist SMC Entertainment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SMC Entertainment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SMC Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SMC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SMC Entertainment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 55.47 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.12 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.43 K. | |
| SMC Entertainment currently holds about 8.1 K in cash with (59.22 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Sonnet BioTherapeutics Releases Virtual Investor What this Means Segment |
Other Information on Investing in SMC Pink Sheet
SMC Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether SMC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SMC with respect to the benefits of owning SMC Entertainment security.