Smurfit Kappa Group Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 34.38
Smurfit Kappa's future price is the expected price of Smurfit Kappa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Smurfit Kappa Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
Please specify Smurfit Kappa's target price for which you would like Smurfit Kappa odds to be computed.
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Smurfit Kappa Target Price Odds to finish below 34.38
The tendency of Smurfit Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 34.38 after 90 days |
| (0.62) | 90 days | 34.38 | about 21.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smurfit Kappa to stay under $ 34.38 after 90 days from now is about 21.31 (This Smurfit Kappa Group probability density function shows the probability of Smurfit Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Smurfit Kappa Group price to stay between its current price of $(0.62) and $ 34.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Smurfit Kappa Group has a beta of -0.52. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Smurfit Kappa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Smurfit Kappa Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Smurfit Kappa Group has an alpha of 0.1007, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Smurfit Kappa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Smurfit Kappa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smurfit Kappa Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Smurfit Kappa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smurfit Kappa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smurfit Kappa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smurfit Kappa Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smurfit Kappa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Smurfit Kappa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smurfit Kappa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smurfit Kappa Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Smurfit Kappa Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Smurfit Kappa Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Smurfit Kappa Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Smurfit Kappa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Smurfit Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Smurfit Kappa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smurfit Kappa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 259 M |
Smurfit Kappa Technical Analysis
Smurfit Kappa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Smurfit Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Smurfit Kappa Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Smurfit Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Smurfit Kappa Predictive Forecast Models
Smurfit Kappa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Smurfit Kappa's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Smurfit Kappa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Smurfit Kappa Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Smurfit Kappa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Smurfit Kappa Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Smurfit Kappa Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Smurfit Kappa Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Smurfit Kappa Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Other Consideration for investing in Smurfit Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Smurfit Kappa Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Smurfit Kappa's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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