Seacor Marine Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.92
| SMHI Stock | USD 6.92 0.23 3.22% |
SEACOR |
SEACOR Marine Target Price Odds to finish below 6.92
The tendency of SEACOR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 6.92 | 90 days | 6.92 | about 9.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SEACOR Marine to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 9.69 (This SEACOR Marine Holdings probability density function shows the probability of SEACOR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.19 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SEACOR Marine will likely underperform. Additionally SEACOR Marine Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SEACOR Marine Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SEACOR Marine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEACOR Marine Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SEACOR Marine Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SEACOR Marine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SEACOR Marine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SEACOR Marine Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SEACOR Marine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
SEACOR Marine Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SEACOR Marine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SEACOR Marine Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SEACOR Marine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SEACOR Marine has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SEACOR Marine Holdings currently holds 321.07 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.88, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SEACOR Marine Holdings has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SEACOR Marine's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 279.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 41.47 M. | |
| SEACOR Marine has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 56.0% of SEACOR Marine shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Long Term Investment Analysis - Stock Traders Daily |
SEACOR Marine Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SEACOR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SEACOR Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SEACOR Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.5 M |
SEACOR Marine Technical Analysis
SEACOR Marine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEACOR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SEACOR Marine Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing SEACOR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SEACOR Marine Predictive Forecast Models
SEACOR Marine's time-series forecasting models is one of many SEACOR Marine's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SEACOR Marine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SEACOR Marine Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about SEACOR Marine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SEACOR Marine Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SEACOR Marine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SEACOR Marine has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SEACOR Marine Holdings currently holds 321.07 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.88, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SEACOR Marine Holdings has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SEACOR Marine's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 279.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 41.47 M. | |
| SEACOR Marine has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 56.0% of SEACOR Marine shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Long Term Investment Analysis - Stock Traders Daily |
Check out SEACOR Marine Backtesting, SEACOR Marine Valuation, SEACOR Marine Correlation, SEACOR Marine Hype Analysis, SEACOR Marine Volatility, SEACOR Marine History as well as SEACOR Marine Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SEACOR Marine. If investors know SEACOR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SEACOR Marine listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.66) | Revenue Per Share 9.984 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity (0.13) |
The market value of SEACOR Marine Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SEACOR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SEACOR Marine's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SEACOR Marine's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SEACOR Marine's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SEACOR Marine's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SEACOR Marine's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SEACOR Marine is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SEACOR Marine's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.