Sound Mind Investing Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.05

SMIFX Fund  USD 10.46  0.02  0.19%   
Sound Mind's future price is the expected price of Sound Mind instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sound Mind Investing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sound Mind Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sound Mind Correlation, Sound Mind Hype Analysis, Sound Mind Volatility, Sound Mind History as well as Sound Mind Performance.
  
Please specify Sound Mind's target price for which you would like Sound Mind odds to be computed.

Sound Mind Target Price Odds to finish below 8.05

The tendency of Sound Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.05  or more in 90 days
 10.46 90 days 8.05 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sound Mind to drop to $ 8.05  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sound Mind Investing probability density function shows the probability of Sound Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sound Mind Investing price to stay between $ 8.05  and its current price of $10.46 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sound Mind has a beta of 0.96. This usually implies Sound Mind Investing market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Sound Mind is expected to follow. Additionally Sound Mind Investing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sound Mind Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sound Mind

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sound Mind Investing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4810.4611.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3410.3211.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.4110.3911.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0510.3210.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sound Mind. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sound Mind's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sound Mind's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sound Mind Investing.

Sound Mind Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sound Mind is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sound Mind's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sound Mind Investing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sound Mind within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Sound Mind Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sound Mind for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sound Mind Investing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.64% of its assets in cash

Sound Mind Technical Analysis

Sound Mind's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sound Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sound Mind Investing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sound Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sound Mind Predictive Forecast Models

Sound Mind's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sound Mind's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sound Mind's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sound Mind Investing

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sound Mind for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sound Mind Investing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.64% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Sound Mutual Fund

Sound Mind financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sound Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sound with respect to the benefits of owning Sound Mind security.
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