Sound Mind Investing Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.11
| SMIFX Fund | USD 10.41 0.09 0.86% |
Sound |
Sound Mind Target Price Odds to finish below 8.11
The tendency of Sound Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.11 or more in 90 days |
| 10.41 | 90 days | 8.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sound Mind to drop to $ 8.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sound Mind Investing probability density function shows the probability of Sound Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sound Mind Investing price to stay between $ 8.11 and its current price of $10.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sound Mind has a beta of 0.27. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sound Mind average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sound Mind Investing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sound Mind Investing has an alpha of 0.1329, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sound Mind Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sound Mind
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sound Mind Investing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sound Mind Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sound Mind is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sound Mind's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sound Mind Investing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sound Mind within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Sound Mind Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sound Mind for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sound Mind Investing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 8.64% of its assets in cash |
Sound Mind Technical Analysis
Sound Mind's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sound Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sound Mind Investing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sound Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sound Mind Predictive Forecast Models
Sound Mind's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sound Mind's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sound Mind's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sound Mind Investing
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sound Mind for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sound Mind Investing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 8.64% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Sound Mutual Fund
Sound Mind financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sound Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sound with respect to the benefits of owning Sound Mind security.
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