Meli Hotels International Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.04
| SMIZF Stock | USD 7.11 0.00 0.00% |
Meliá |
Meliá Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 7.04
The tendency of Meliá Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 7.04 in 90 days |
| 7.11 | 90 days | 7.04 | about 35.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meliá Hotels to stay above $ 7.04 in 90 days from now is about 35.56 (This Meli Hotels International probability density function shows the probability of Meliá Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meli Hotels International price to stay between $ 7.04 and its current price of $7.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Meliá Hotels has a beta of 0.11. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Meliá Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Meli Hotels International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Meli Hotels International has an alpha of 0.146, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meliá Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meliá Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meli Hotels International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meliá Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meliá Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meliá Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meli Hotels International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meliá Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Meliá Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meliá Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meli Hotels International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Meli Hotels International has accumulated 1.18 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.91, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Meli Hotels International has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Meliá Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Meliá Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Meli Hotels International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Meliá to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Meliá Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 827.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (192.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 349.93 M. | |
| About 55.0% of Meliá Hotels outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Meliá Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meliá Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meliá Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meliá Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220.1 M |
Meliá Hotels Technical Analysis
Meliá Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meliá Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meli Hotels International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meliá Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meliá Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Meliá Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Meliá Hotels' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meliá Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meli Hotels International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meliá Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meli Hotels International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Meli Hotels International has accumulated 1.18 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.91, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Meli Hotels International has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Meliá Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Meliá Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Meli Hotels International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Meliá to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Meliá Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 827.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (192.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 349.93 M. | |
| About 55.0% of Meliá Hotels outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Meliá Pink Sheet
Meliá Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meliá Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meliá with respect to the benefits of owning Meliá Hotels security.