Golden Eagle (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 760.0

SMMT Stock  IDR 760.00  5.00  0.65%   
Golden Eagle's future price is the expected price of Golden Eagle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Golden Eagle Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Golden Eagle Backtesting, Golden Eagle Valuation, Golden Eagle Correlation, Golden Eagle Hype Analysis, Golden Eagle Volatility, Golden Eagle History as well as Golden Eagle Performance.
  
Please specify Golden Eagle's target price for which you would like Golden Eagle odds to be computed.

Golden Eagle Target Price Odds to finish below 760.0

The tendency of Golden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 760.00 90 days 760.00 
about 49.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Golden Eagle to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 49.02 (This Golden Eagle Energy probability density function shows the probability of Golden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Golden Eagle has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Golden Eagle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Golden Eagle Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Golden Eagle Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Golden Eagle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Golden Eagle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Eagle Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
757.78760.00762.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
643.53645.75836.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
710.79713.01715.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
709.31746.43783.54
Details

Golden Eagle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Golden Eagle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Golden Eagle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Golden Eagle Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Golden Eagle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
43.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Golden Eagle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Golden Eagle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Golden Eagle Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Golden Eagle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Golden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Golden Eagle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golden Eagle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments70.4 B

Golden Eagle Technical Analysis

Golden Eagle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Golden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Golden Eagle Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Golden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Golden Eagle Predictive Forecast Models

Golden Eagle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Golden Eagle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Golden Eagle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Golden Eagle Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Golden Eagle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Golden Eagle Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Golden Stock

Golden Eagle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Golden Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Golden with respect to the benefits of owning Golden Eagle security.