Scottish Mortgage (UK) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 653.85

SMT Etf   970.40  5.00  0.51%   
Scottish Mortgage's future price is the expected price of Scottish Mortgage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Scottish Mortgage Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Scottish Mortgage Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Scottish Mortgage Correlation, Scottish Mortgage Hype Analysis, Scottish Mortgage Volatility, Scottish Mortgage History as well as Scottish Mortgage Performance.
  
Please specify Scottish Mortgage's target price for which you would like Scottish Mortgage odds to be computed.

Scottish Mortgage Target Price Odds to finish below 653.85

The tendency of Scottish Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  653.85  or more in 90 days
 970.40 90 days 653.85 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scottish Mortgage to drop to  653.85  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Scottish Mortgage Investment probability density function shows the probability of Scottish Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scottish Mortgage price to stay between  653.85  and its current price of 970.4 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Scottish Mortgage has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Scottish Mortgage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Scottish Mortgage Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Scottish Mortgage Investment has an alpha of 0.2708, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Scottish Mortgage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Scottish Mortgage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scottish Mortgage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
969.25970.40971.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
873.361,0361,037
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
976.57977.72978.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
837.96916.42994.87
Details

Scottish Mortgage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scottish Mortgage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scottish Mortgage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scottish Mortgage Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scottish Mortgage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
52.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Scottish Mortgage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scottish Mortgage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scottish Mortgage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scottish Mortgage generates negative cash flow from operations
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Scottish Mortgage Technical Analysis

Scottish Mortgage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scottish Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scottish Mortgage Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scottish Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Scottish Mortgage Predictive Forecast Models

Scottish Mortgage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Scottish Mortgage's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scottish Mortgage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Scottish Mortgage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Scottish Mortgage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scottish Mortgage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scottish Mortgage generates negative cash flow from operations
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Scottish Etf

Scottish Mortgage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scottish Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scottish with respect to the benefits of owning Scottish Mortgage security.