Stonex Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 67.41
| SNEX Stock | USD 95.92 2.62 2.66% |
Stonex |
Stonex Target Price Odds to finish below 67.41
The tendency of Stonex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 67.41 or more in 90 days |
| 95.92 | 90 days | 67.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stonex to drop to $ 67.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Stonex Group probability density function shows the probability of Stonex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stonex Group price to stay between $ 67.41 and its current price of $95.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Stonex will likely underperform. Additionally Stonex Group has an alpha of 0.2193, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Stonex Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stonex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stonex Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stonex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stonex Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stonex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stonex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stonex Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stonex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Stonex Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stonex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stonex Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stonex Group currently holds about 10.47 B in cash with (103.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 516.54. | |
| Stonex Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Mark Maurer of 6922 shares of Stonex subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Stonex Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stonex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stonex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stonex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Stonex Technical Analysis
Stonex's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stonex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stonex Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stonex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stonex Predictive Forecast Models
Stonex's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stonex's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stonex's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stonex Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stonex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stonex Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stonex Group currently holds about 10.47 B in cash with (103.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 516.54. | |
| Stonex Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Mark Maurer of 6922 shares of Stonex subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Stonex Stock Analysis
When running Stonex's price analysis, check to measure Stonex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stonex is operating at the current time. Most of Stonex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stonex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stonex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stonex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.