SCHNEIDER NATLINC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.12
SNIA Stock | EUR 29.60 0.20 0.68% |
SCHNEIDER |
SCHNEIDER NATLINC Target Price Odds to finish below 29.12
The tendency of SCHNEIDER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 29.12 or more in 90 days |
29.60 | 90 days | 29.12 | about 84.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SCHNEIDER NATLINC to drop to 29.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.95 (This SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB probability density function shows the probability of SCHNEIDER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB price to stay between 29.12 and its current price of 29.6 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SCHNEIDER NATLINC has a beta of 0.92. This usually implies SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SCHNEIDER NATLINC is expected to follow. Additionally SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB has an alpha of 0.2368, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SCHNEIDER NATLINC Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for SCHNEIDER NATLINC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SCHNEIDER NATLINC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SCHNEIDER NATLINC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SCHNEIDER NATLINC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SCHNEIDER NATLINC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
SCHNEIDER NATLINC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SCHNEIDER NATLINC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SCHNEIDER NATLINC Technical Analysis
SCHNEIDER NATLINC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCHNEIDER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCHNEIDER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SCHNEIDER NATLINC Predictive Forecast Models
SCHNEIDER NATLINC's time-series forecasting models is one of many SCHNEIDER NATLINC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SCHNEIDER NATLINC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB
Checking the ongoing alerts about SCHNEIDER NATLINC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in SCHNEIDER Stock
SCHNEIDER NATLINC financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCHNEIDER Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCHNEIDER with respect to the benefits of owning SCHNEIDER NATLINC security.