SCHNEIDER NATLINC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.18

SNIA Stock  EUR 30.80  0.60  1.91%   
SCHNEIDER NATLINC's future price is the expected price of SCHNEIDER NATLINC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SCHNEIDER NATLINC Backtesting, SCHNEIDER NATLINC Valuation, SCHNEIDER NATLINC Correlation, SCHNEIDER NATLINC Hype Analysis, SCHNEIDER NATLINC Volatility, SCHNEIDER NATLINC History as well as SCHNEIDER NATLINC Performance.
  
Please specify SCHNEIDER NATLINC's target price for which you would like SCHNEIDER NATLINC odds to be computed.

SCHNEIDER NATLINC Target Price Odds to finish over 29.18

The tendency of SCHNEIDER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 29.18  in 90 days
 30.80 90 days 29.18 
about 7.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SCHNEIDER NATLINC to stay above € 29.18  in 90 days from now is about 7.47 (This SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB probability density function shows the probability of SCHNEIDER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB price to stay between € 29.18  and its current price of €30.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SCHNEIDER NATLINC has a beta of 0.85. This usually implies SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SCHNEIDER NATLINC is expected to follow. Additionally SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB has an alpha of 0.2923, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SCHNEIDER NATLINC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SCHNEIDER NATLINC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.1330.8032.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.7234.4336.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.3231.0032.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.4627.5931.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SCHNEIDER NATLINC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SCHNEIDER NATLINC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SCHNEIDER NATLINC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB.

SCHNEIDER NATLINC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SCHNEIDER NATLINC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SCHNEIDER NATLINC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SCHNEIDER NATLINC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

SCHNEIDER NATLINC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SCHNEIDER NATLINC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

SCHNEIDER NATLINC Technical Analysis

SCHNEIDER NATLINC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCHNEIDER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCHNEIDER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SCHNEIDER NATLINC Predictive Forecast Models

SCHNEIDER NATLINC's time-series forecasting models is one of many SCHNEIDER NATLINC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SCHNEIDER NATLINC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB

Checking the ongoing alerts about SCHNEIDER NATLINC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SCHNEIDER NATLINC CLB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in SCHNEIDER Stock

SCHNEIDER NATLINC financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCHNEIDER Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCHNEIDER with respect to the benefits of owning SCHNEIDER NATLINC security.