Srinanaporn Marketing (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.65

SNNP Stock   12.00  0.30  2.56%   
Srinanaporn Marketing's future price is the expected price of Srinanaporn Marketing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Srinanaporn Marketing Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Srinanaporn Marketing Backtesting, Srinanaporn Marketing Valuation, Srinanaporn Marketing Correlation, Srinanaporn Marketing Hype Analysis, Srinanaporn Marketing Volatility, Srinanaporn Marketing History as well as Srinanaporn Marketing Performance.
  
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Srinanaporn Marketing Target Price Odds to finish over 18.65

The tendency of Srinanaporn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  18.65  or more in 90 days
 12.00 90 days 18.65 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Srinanaporn Marketing to move over  18.65  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Srinanaporn Marketing Public probability density function shows the probability of Srinanaporn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Srinanaporn Marketing price to stay between its current price of  12.00  and  18.65  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Srinanaporn Marketing has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Srinanaporn Marketing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Srinanaporn Marketing Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Srinanaporn Marketing Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Srinanaporn Marketing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Srinanaporn Marketing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Srinanaporn Marketing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1312.0013.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.4810.3512.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2112.0813.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4311.7712.11
Details

Srinanaporn Marketing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Srinanaporn Marketing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Srinanaporn Marketing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Srinanaporn Marketing Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Srinanaporn Marketing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Srinanaporn Marketing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Srinanaporn Marketing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Srinanaporn Marketing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Srinanaporn Marketing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Srinanaporn Marketing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Srinanaporn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Srinanaporn Marketing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Srinanaporn Marketing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding960 M

Srinanaporn Marketing Technical Analysis

Srinanaporn Marketing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Srinanaporn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Srinanaporn Marketing Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Srinanaporn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Srinanaporn Marketing Predictive Forecast Models

Srinanaporn Marketing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Srinanaporn Marketing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Srinanaporn Marketing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Srinanaporn Marketing

Checking the ongoing alerts about Srinanaporn Marketing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Srinanaporn Marketing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Srinanaporn Marketing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Srinanaporn Stock

Srinanaporn Marketing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Srinanaporn Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Srinanaporn with respect to the benefits of owning Srinanaporn Marketing security.