Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.83
| SNOA Stock | USD 2.85 0.06 2.06% |
Sonoma |
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish over 3.83
The tendency of Sonoma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.83 or more in 90 days |
| 2.85 | 90 days | 3.83 | about 13.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals to move over $ 3.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.49 (This Sonoma Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of Sonoma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals price to stay between its current price of $ 2.85 and $ 3.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.62 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.46 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals will likely underperform. Additionally Sonoma Pharmaceuticals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sonoma Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sonoma Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sonoma Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.48 M. | |
| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 5.59 M in cash with (2.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.8. | |
| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Sonoma Pharmaceuticals ends agreement with EMC Pharma |
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sonoma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 454.5 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 M |
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sonoma Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sonoma Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sonoma Pharmaceuticals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sonoma Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.48 M. | |
| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 5.59 M in cash with (2.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.8. | |
| Sonoma Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Sonoma Pharmaceuticals ends agreement with EMC Pharma |
Check out Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Backtesting, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Valuation, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Correlation, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Hype Analysis, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Volatility, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals History as well as Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Performance. For information on how to trade Sonoma Stock refer to our How to Trade Sonoma Stock guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Sonoma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sonoma Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.99) | Revenue Per Share 20.967 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets (0.20) | Return On Equity (0.75) |
The market value of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sonoma that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sonoma Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.