Sunny Optical Technology Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 6.2

SNPTF Stock  USD 6.55  0.00  0.00%   
Sunny Optical's future price is the expected price of Sunny Optical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sunny Optical Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sunny Optical Backtesting, Sunny Optical Valuation, Sunny Optical Correlation, Sunny Optical Hype Analysis, Sunny Optical Volatility, Sunny Optical History as well as Sunny Optical Performance.
  
Please specify Sunny Optical's target price for which you would like Sunny Optical odds to be computed.

Sunny Optical Target Price Odds to finish below 6.2

The tendency of Sunny Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 6.20  or more in 90 days
 6.55 90 days 6.20 
about 22.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sunny Optical to drop to $ 6.20  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.93 (This Sunny Optical Technology probability density function shows the probability of Sunny Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sunny Optical Technology price to stay between $ 6.20  and its current price of $6.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.45 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sunny Optical has a beta of 0.1. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sunny Optical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sunny Optical Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sunny Optical Technology has an alpha of 0.115, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sunny Optical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sunny Optical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunny Optical Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sunny Optical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.476.559.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.416.499.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.506.589.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.556.556.55
Details

Sunny Optical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sunny Optical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sunny Optical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sunny Optical Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sunny Optical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.0002

Sunny Optical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sunny Optical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sunny Optical Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sunny Optical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sunny Optical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sunny Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sunny Optical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunny Optical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Sunny Optical Technical Analysis

Sunny Optical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sunny Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sunny Optical Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sunny Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sunny Optical Predictive Forecast Models

Sunny Optical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sunny Optical's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sunny Optical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sunny Optical Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sunny Optical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sunny Optical Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sunny Optical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sunny Pink Sheet

Sunny Optical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sunny Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sunny with respect to the benefits of owning Sunny Optical security.