Sit Tax Free Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.4

SNTYX Fund  USD 8.87  0.02  0.23%   
Sit Tax-free's future price is the expected price of Sit Tax-free instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sit Tax Free Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sit Tax-free Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sit Tax-free Correlation, Sit Tax-free Hype Analysis, Sit Tax-free Volatility, Sit Tax-free History as well as Sit Tax-free Performance.
  
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Sit Tax-free Target Price Odds to finish over 8.4

The tendency of Sit Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.40  in 90 days
 8.87 90 days 8.40 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sit Tax-free to stay above $ 8.40  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sit Tax Free Income probability density function shows the probability of Sit Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sit Tax Free price to stay between $ 8.40  and its current price of $8.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sit Tax Free Income has a beta of -0.0992. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sit Tax-free are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sit Tax Free Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sit Tax Free Income has an alpha of 0.0394, implying that it can generate a 0.0394 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sit Tax-free Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sit Tax-free

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sit Tax Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sit Tax-free's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.598.879.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.128.409.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.578.859.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.758.828.89
Details

Sit Tax-free Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sit Tax-free is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sit Tax-free's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sit Tax Free Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sit Tax-free within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.36

Sit Tax-free Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sit Tax-free for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sit Tax Free can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 95.08% of its assets in bonds

Sit Tax-free Technical Analysis

Sit Tax-free's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sit Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sit Tax Free Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sit Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sit Tax-free Predictive Forecast Models

Sit Tax-free's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sit Tax-free's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sit Tax-free's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sit Tax Free

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sit Tax-free for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sit Tax Free help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 95.08% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Sit Mutual Fund

Sit Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sit Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sit with respect to the benefits of owning Sit Tax-free security.
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