Southern California Gas Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 16.50

SOCGP Stock  USD 25.61  0.97  3.65%   
Southern California's future price is the expected price of Southern California instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Southern California Gas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Southern California Backtesting, Southern California Valuation, Southern California Correlation, Southern California Hype Analysis, Southern California Volatility, Southern California History as well as Southern California Performance.
  
Please specify Southern California's target price for which you would like Southern California odds to be computed.

Southern California Target Price Odds to finish below 16.50

The tendency of Southern OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 16.50  or more in 90 days
 25.61 90 days 16.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Southern California to drop to $ 16.50  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Southern California Gas probability density function shows the probability of Southern OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Southern California Gas price to stay between $ 16.50  and its current price of $25.61 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Southern California Gas has a beta of -0.26. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Southern California are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Southern California Gas is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Southern California Gas has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Southern California Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Southern California

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern California Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7925.3927.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7922.3928.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.1125.7128.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.5927.2228.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Southern California. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Southern California's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Southern California's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Southern California Gas.

Southern California Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Southern California is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Southern California's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Southern California Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Southern California within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.006
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Southern California Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Southern California for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Southern California Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Southern California generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Southern California has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Southern California has accumulated $4.77 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Southern California Gas has accumulated 4.77 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 74.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Southern California Gas has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Southern California until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Southern California's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Southern California Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Southern to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Southern California's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 5.51 B. Net Loss for the year was (426 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
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Southern California Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Southern OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Southern California's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern California's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91 M

Southern California Technical Analysis

Southern California's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Southern OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Southern California Gas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Southern OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Southern California Predictive Forecast Models

Southern California's time-series forecasting models is one of many Southern California's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Southern California's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Southern California Gas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Southern California for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Southern California Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Southern California generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Southern California has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Southern California has accumulated $4.77 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Southern California Gas has accumulated 4.77 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 74.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Southern California Gas has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Southern California until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Southern California's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Southern California Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Southern to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Southern California's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 5.51 B. Net Loss for the year was (426 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
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Additional Tools for Southern OTC Stock Analysis

When running Southern California's price analysis, check to measure Southern California's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Southern California is operating at the current time. Most of Southern California's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Southern California's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Southern California's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Southern California to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.