Sofina Socit (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 229.75

SOF Stock  EUR 218.40  1.40  0.65%   
Sofina Socit's future price is the expected price of Sofina Socit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sofina Socit Anonyme performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sofina Socit Backtesting, Sofina Socit Valuation, Sofina Socit Correlation, Sofina Socit Hype Analysis, Sofina Socit Volatility, Sofina Socit History as well as Sofina Socit Performance.
  
Please specify Sofina Socit's target price for which you would like Sofina Socit odds to be computed.

Sofina Socit Target Price Odds to finish over 229.75

The tendency of Sofina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 229.75  or more in 90 days
 218.40 90 days 229.75 
about 60.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sofina Socit to move over € 229.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 60.83 (This Sofina Socit Anonyme probability density function shows the probability of Sofina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sofina Socit Anonyme price to stay between its current price of € 218.40  and € 229.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sofina Socit has a beta of 0.57. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sofina Socit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sofina Socit Anonyme will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sofina Socit Anonyme has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sofina Socit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sofina Socit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sofina Socit Anonyme. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
216.60218.40220.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
196.56227.95229.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
212.07213.88215.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
214.85219.90224.95
Details

Sofina Socit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sofina Socit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sofina Socit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sofina Socit Anonyme, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sofina Socit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
14.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Sofina Socit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sofina Socit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sofina Socit Anonyme can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sofina Socit Anonyme has accumulated about 887.53 M in cash with (540.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 26.41.
Roughly 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sofina Socit Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sofina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sofina Socit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sofina Socit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments140.7 M

Sofina Socit Technical Analysis

Sofina Socit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sofina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sofina Socit Anonyme. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sofina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sofina Socit Predictive Forecast Models

Sofina Socit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sofina Socit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sofina Socit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sofina Socit Anonyme

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sofina Socit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sofina Socit Anonyme help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sofina Socit Anonyme has accumulated about 887.53 M in cash with (540.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 26.41.
Roughly 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Sofina Stock Analysis

When running Sofina Socit's price analysis, check to measure Sofina Socit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sofina Socit is operating at the current time. Most of Sofina Socit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sofina Socit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sofina Socit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sofina Socit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.